Predicting the future of Earth's climate is a daunting task. How are complex climate models calculated, taking chaos theory into account?
- Climate models use data to calculate the probability of future climate events.
- Small initial changes that produce large differences in outcome are known as the butterfly effect or chaos theory.
- Climate models require huge computer power and need to be repeated for consistent trends to emerge.
- As people change the way they treat the environment, climate models change too.
Prof Peter Cox, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, UK – "Climate models, essentially, have come out of weather forecasting models. They're run for much longer periods, they're run for hundreds of years rather than days, but they contain all the complexities, they contain clouds, they contain rainfall patterns, they …
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